Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 66 · Monday, August 17, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-17 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-17 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 9 · COILING 85 (cohering 58 / diverging 11) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 37↑ / 72↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +113 · T2108 46% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-14)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $RELY, $RVTY, $NGVT, $MTRN, $ANET, $WHD, $TDW, $OSCR, $CHEF
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $P
  • 🌀 new coil: $DGII, $LFUS, $CACI, $WCC, $FLR, $KALU, $NSIT, $IBKR, $SNDR, $NVT, $FCX, $ARWR, $AEHR, $GTES, $KMX, $NEOG, $ARW
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $OSCR, $AIR, $MOG.A
  • ➖ dropped out: $FTNT, $DINO, $HNI, $PAYC, $URBN, $ASML, $RL, $UMAC, $HPQ, $QLYS, $OII, $ADUS, $SWK, $HSTM, $SW, $CRL, $INVX, $CROX, $NBIS, $SNOW, $PRGS, $BIIB, $COMP, $TWLO, $DBX, $OKTA, $VAC, $EMR, $DT

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 21 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $NOV (-0.1% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PARR (-5.7% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $ARW (-7.2% from high) — 5G/6R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SNDR (-7.3% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $RVTY (-1.8% from high, 3%/day, +24% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $HP (-0.2% from high, 3%/day, +13% 3mo) — 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $ANET (-6.1% from high, 4%/day, +42% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $WHD -0.8% 3.5%/day 3mo +27% $ 44M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TDW -1.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +14% $ 47M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -1.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +24% $ 155M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RELY -3.1% 4.1%/day 3mo +16% $ 67M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $MTRN -5.5% 4.8%/day 3mo +40% $ 87M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -5.8% 3.8%/day 3mo +38% $ 62M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANET -6.1% 4.1%/day 3mo +42% $ 1270M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $P -1.5% 5.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 189M 4G/0R accu MIXED
  • $NGVT -4.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 17M 5G/2R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $NOV -0.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 63M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $LPG -1.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +19% $ 27M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $IBKR -3.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 432M 6G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $TALO -3.8% 4.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 28M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $DGII -4.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +34% $ 22M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $RAL -4.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +20% $ 101M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -5.7% 5.6%/day 3mo +41% $ 83M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $ARW -7.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +6% $ 118M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -7.2% 4.6%/day 3mo +21% $ 22M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $SNDR -7.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +10% $ 28M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NEOG -7.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +45% $ 21M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $HP -0.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +13% $ 37M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AIR -0.2% 4.4%/day 3mo +47% $ 49M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTI -0.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +12% $ 232M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MOG.A -0.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +47% $ 102M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -0.8% 5.9%/day 3mo +77% $ 204M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $WT -0.9% 3.9%/day 3mo +19% $ 40M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SM -1.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +9% $ 111M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -1.4% 3.5%/day 3mo +17% $ 101M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $XNCR -1.5% 5.8%/day 3mo +95% $ 22M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $VSEC -1.8% 4.5%/day 3mo +43% $ 85M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -1.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +18% $ 24M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HLX -2.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +5% $ 14M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $THC -2.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +35% $ 253M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -2.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +25% $ 14M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $GKOS -2.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +31% $ 128M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MTUS -2.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +21% $ 8M 6G/6R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -2.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 182M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $BIO -2.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +44% $ 91M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -2.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +34% $ 46M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -3.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +4% $ 198M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CSW -3.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +29% $ 49M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $IRM -3.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +4% $ 200M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CXW -3.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +62% $ 35M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -3.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +45% $ 85M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -3.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +43% $ 272M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $DXPE -3.9% 3.8%/day 3mo +36% $ 28M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NVT -4.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +5% $ 297M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $IQV -4.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +41% $ 286M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $APH -4.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +37% $ 974M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CART -4.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +27% $ 152M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NOVT -4.3% 3.9%/day 3mo +10% $ 57M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -4.5% 4.3%/day 3mo +96% $ 28M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ETN -4.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +14% $ 779M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EAT -4.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +76% $ 226M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ATI -4.8% 4.1%/day 3mo +50% $ 293M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EXPE -4.9% 3.8%/day 3mo +46% $ 478M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CACI -5.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 147M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NSIT -5.1% 3.7%/day 3mo +68% $ 57M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FCX -5.4% 3.5%/day 3mo +9% $ 828M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WEX -5.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +34% $ 130M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $AEHR -1.2% 11.2%/day 3mo +46% $ 213M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TWST -1.6% 6.5%/day 3mo+135% $ 125M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FRO -2.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +15% $ 71M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TVTX -4.1% 4.1%/day 3mo +44% $ 77M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -5.2% 4.8%/day 3mo +35% $ 150M 2G/1R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $AEHG — 5/5 days
  • $QMCO — 5/5 days
  • $ABCL — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $SMJF — 5/5 days
  • $RDWU — 5/5 days
  • $STIM — 5/5 days
  • $LIFE — 5/5 days
  • $VREX — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $BWMN — 5/5 days
  • $TEAM — 5/5 days
  • $AXTU — 4/5 days
  • $AXTL — 4/5 days
  • $AXTX — 4/5 days
  • $STKH — 4/5 days
  • $SMCL — 4/5 days
  • $SMCX — 4/5 days
  • $CWVX — 4/5 days
  • $CRWU — 4/5 days
  • $CRWG — 4/5 days
  • $ZTG — 4/5 days
  • $KTUP — 4/5 days
  • $NXTC — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $RVTY

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $NOV

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $NSIT

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high; range contracting

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0817 (10)

RVTY,HP,ANET,WHD,TDW,RELY,MTRN,CHEF,P,NGVT

KC_Coils_D_0817 (50)

HP,AIR,FTI,MOG/A,PBF,WT,SM,AVT,XNCR,VSEC,NHC,HLX,THC,PRLB,GKOS,MTUS,ROIV,BIO,SAIC,WCC,CSW,IRM,CXW,CNK,ZBRA,DXPE,NVT,IQV,APH,CART,NOVT,NEO,ETN,EAT,ATI,EXPE,CACI,NSIT,FCX,WEX,FLR,SPHR,MLKN,LFUS,GFF,SKY,SABR,FSS,EPC,KMX

KC_Fakes_D_0817 (11)

NOV,LPG,IBKR,TALO,DGII,RAL,PARR,ARW,AMN,SNDR,NEOG

KC_OffIdx_D_0817 (5)

AEHR,TWST,FRO,TVTX,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.