Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 67 · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-18 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-18 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 7 · COILING 56 (cohering 39 / diverging 6) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 21↑ / 150↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -19 · T2108 42% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-17)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $LPG, $CACI, $RGEN, $CNC, $RCUS, $AIR
  • 🌀 new coil: $QLYS, $HPQ, $ABNB, $QNST, $PGEN, $DT, $DBX, $INDV, $DFTX
  • ➖ dropped out: $TWST, $NEOG, $ETN, $KWR, $CHEF, $KAI, $LFUS, $CCS, $NOV, $ARW, $TALO, $ANET, $PRLB, $NGVT, $SPHR, $AEHR, $GTES, $KMX, $FCX, $THC, $NVT, $SABR, $NOVT, $MTRN, $SAIC, $TFIN, $ILMN, $NHC, $INSW, $SNDR, $KALU, $RVTY, $SKY, $DXPE, $HLX, $APH, $DELL, $WCC, $FSS, $HRMY

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 18 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $PARR (-7.5% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $RAL (-7.9% from high) — 4G/5R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AMN (-7.2% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $GEO (-5.2% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $ABNB (-2.1% from high, 3%/day, +36% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $NSIT (-5.2% from high, 4%/day, +65% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high; range contracting
  • $IQV (-4.5% from high, 3%/day, +42% 3mo) — 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $TDW -1.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +10% $ 47M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CACI -4.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 147M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AIR -3.2% 4.4%/day 3mo +44% $ 49M 1G/2R neut MIXED
  • $RGEN -5.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +59% $ 159M 0G/0R neut MIXED
  • $CNC -6.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +12% $ 272M 3G/2R neut MIXED
  • $RCUS -7.0% 4.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 31M 2G/5R neut MIXED
  • $LPG -0.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 27M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $LPG -0.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 27M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $GEO -5.2% 3.9%/day 3mo +35% $ 47M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $DGII -6.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +30% $ 23M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -7.2% 4.6%/day 3mo +20% $ 22M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -7.5% 5.6%/day 3mo +37% $ 83M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $RAL -7.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 101M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $ROIV -0.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +28% $ 182M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $XNCR -0.5% 5.8%/day 3mo+126% $ 22M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -0.6% 5.9%/day 3mo +78% $ 209M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $WHD -1.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +28% $ 44M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -1.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +28% $ 8M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $HP -1.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +6% $ 37M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SM -1.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +7% $ 111M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WT -1.8% 3.9%/day 3mo +18% $ 38M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ABNB -2.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +36% $ 658M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MOG.A -2.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +43% $ 106M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FTI -2.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 232M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $GKOS -3.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +28% $ 136M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BIO -3.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 91M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WEX -4.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +34% $ 130M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXPE -4.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +50% $ 449M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CART -4.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 159M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $IQV -4.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +42% $ 288M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VSEC -5.0% 4.4%/day 3mo +40% $ 85M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -5.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +76% $ 15M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ZD -5.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +34% $ 31M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -5.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +41% $ 272M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NSIT -5.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +65% $ 57M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -5.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +37% $ 85M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $IRM -5.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +2% $ 196M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $MTUS -6.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +19% $ 8M 6G/6R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -6.0% 4.2%/day 3mo +90% $ 28M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MLKN -6.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +58% $ 13M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RELY -6.3% 4.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 67M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CSW -6.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 49M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -6.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +12% $ 105M 6G/6R accu COHERING
  • $DBX -6.7% 3.8%/day 3mo +26% $ 138M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $QLYS -6.7% 5.3%/day 3mo+109% $ 116M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GFF -6.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +22% $ 31M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $QNST -6.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +82% $ 13M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HPQ -6.9% 4.4%/day 3mo +43% $ 382M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ATI -7.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +51% $ 293M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CXW -7.1% 3.7%/day 3mo +54% $ 35M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EAT -7.1% 4.0%/day 3mo +78% $ 226M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -7.8% 4.3%/day 3mo +20% $ 126M 7G/6R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -0.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +15% $ 71M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TVTX -3.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +50% $ 77M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -6.0% 4.8%/day 3mo +24% $ 160M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -7.8% 6.4%/day 3mo +66% $ 33M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DFTX -7.1% 5.0%/day 3mo+125% $ 81M 2G/3R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $AEHG — 5/5 days
  • $QMCO — 5/5 days
  • $ABCL — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $SMJF — 5/5 days
  • $RDWU — 5/5 days
  • $STIM — 5/5 days
  • $LIFE — 5/5 days
  • $VREX — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $BWMN — 5/5 days
  • $TEAM — 5/5 days
  • $AXTU — 4/5 days
  • $AXTL — 4/5 days
  • $AXTX — 4/5 days
  • $STKH — 4/5 days
  • $SMCL — 4/5 days
  • $SMCX — 4/5 days
  • $CWVX — 4/5 days
  • $CRWU — 4/5 days
  • $CRWG — 4/5 days
  • $ZTG — 4/5 days
  • $KTUP — 4/5 days
  • $NXTC — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $ABNB

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $GEO

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/6R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $OGN

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +91.7 ATR above the 200d — -0.3% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0818 (10)

ABNB,NSIT,IQV,TDW,CACI,AIR,RGEN,CNC,RCUS,LPG

KC_Coils_D_0818 (39)

ROIV,XNCR,PBF,WHD,LQDT,HP,SM,WT,ABNB,MOG/A,FTI,GKOS,BIO,WEX,EXPE,CART,IQV,VSEC,EPC,ZD,ZBRA,NSIT,CNK,IRM,MTUS,NEO,MLKN,RELY,CSW,AVT,DBX,QLYS,GFF,QNST,HPQ,ATI,CXW,EAT,FLR

KC_Fakes_D_0818 (6)

LPG,GEO,DGII,AMN,PARR,RAL

KC_OffIdx_D_0818 (5)

FRO,TVTX,OSCR,PGEN,DFTX

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.