Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 72 · Friday, August 21, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-21 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-21 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 57 (cohering 39 / diverging 6) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 60↑ / 8↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -111 · T2108 49% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-20)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $RGEN, $NSIT
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $PBF
  • 🌀 new coil: $NSP, $QNST, $CVI, $NHC, $RELY, $APA, $IBKR, $VIRT, $LFST, $INSW, $PRGS, $PTEN, $CSW, $TFX, $SBH, $SW, $HPQ, $EAT, $BFLY, $KTB
  • ➖ dropped out: $RVTY, $LPG, $RHI, $GEO, $ABNB, $WT, $SAIC, $CRGY, $ILMN, $GH, $TWST, $P, $WHD, $NEM

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 14 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $ETSY (-7.9% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $XYZ (-5.3% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FIVE (-0.6% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AMN (-7.4% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $NSIT (-6.3% from high, 4%/day, +58% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $VIRT (-1.1% from high, 4%/day, +29% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $TFX (-4.3% from high, 3%/day, +5% 3mo) — 9G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $PBF -2.8% 5.6%/day 3mo +88% $ 210M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -4.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +60% $ 159M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NSIT -6.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +58% $ 57M 5G/0R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $FIVE -0.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +14% $ 205M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $XYZ -5.3% 3.0%/day 3mo +20% $ 354M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -6.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +14% $ 137M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $NEOG -7.0% 4.0%/day 3mo +35% $ 23M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -7.4% 3.7%/day 3mo +34% $ 22M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $ETSY -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +33% $ 222M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $IQV -0.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +55% $ 306M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WEX -0.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +34% $ 99M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FCX -0.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +23% $ 828M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VIRT -1.1% 3.7%/day 3mo +29% $ 68M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BIO -1.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 93M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -1.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +27% $ 8M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $TDW -2.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 48M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CXW -2.4% 3.7%/day 3mo +61% $ 46M 9G/3R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -2.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +19% $ 24M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SM -2.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +12% $ 111M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -2.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +17% $ 48M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EAT -3.0% 4.0%/day 3mo +80% $ 211M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HP -3.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +10% $ 39M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -3.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +25% $ 59M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CHRD -3.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +4% $ 95M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ZD -3.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +34% $ 30M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $LFST -3.8% 3.7%/day 3mo +67% $ 39M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CART -3.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +24% $ 160M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FTI -3.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +8% $ 233M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EXPE -4.0% 3.8%/day 3mo +47% $ 449M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TFX -4.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +5% $ 81M 9G/4R accu COHERING
  • $RCUS -4.4% 4.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 29M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -4.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 203M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +52% $ 272M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -4.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +64% $ 16M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ACAD -4.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +38% $ 41M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $APA -5.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 217M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $DBX -5.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +26% $ 141M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -5.3% 4.1%/day 3mo +10% $ 28M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -5.7% 4.1%/day 3mo +1% $ 85M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -6.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +38% $ 82M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MLKN -6.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +49% $ 12M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CSW -7.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +26% $ 41M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GFF -7.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 32M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $QNST -7.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +72% $ 14M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SBH -7.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +33% $ 23M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HPQ -7.7% 3.8%/day 3mo +36% $ 382M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NSP -7.7% 4.7%/day 3mo +71% $ 26M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $KTB -7.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +18% $ 52M 4G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -3.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 80M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -4.0% 6.0%/day 3mo +68% $ 36M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BFLY -5.0% 6.7%/day 3mo+113% $ 47M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $KYMR -7.9% 3.8%/day 3mo +49% $ 61M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -4.3% 4.8%/day 3mo +45% $ 172M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $HTFL — 5/5 days
  • $ABCL — 5/5 days
  • $SMJF — 5/5 days
  • $STKH — 5/5 days
  • $TEAM — 5/5 days
  • $OMER — 5/5 days
  • $QMCO — 5/5 days
  • $ARX — 5/5 days
  • $VREX — 5/5 days
  • $FGI — 4/5 days
  • $BWET — 4/5 days
  • $BOXL — 4/5 days
  • $NIQ — 4/5 days
  • $LUNL — 4/5 days
  • $STIM — 4/5 days
  • $BWMN — 4/5 days
  • $XHG — 3/5 days
  • $USDE — 3/5 days
  • $AMLX — 3/5 days
  • $GDXU — 3/5 days
  • $SENS — 3/5 days
  • $FDMT — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $NSIT

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $XYZ

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/4R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $SAFT

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +91.6 ATR above the 200d — -0.2% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0821 (5)

NSIT,VIRT,TFX,PBF,RGEN

KC_Coils_D_0821 (39)

IQV,WEX,FCX,VIRT,BIO,LQDT,TDW,CXW,NHC,SM,INSW,EAT,HP,HCC,CHRD,ZD,LFST,CART,FTI,EXPE,TFX,RCUS,ROIV,ZBRA,EPC,ACAD,APA,DBX,TALO,PTEN,CNK,MLKN,CSW,GFF,QNST,SBH,HPQ,NSP,KTB

KC_Fakes_D_0821 (6)

FIVE,XYZ,DAR,NEOG,AMN,ETSY

KC_OffIdx_D_0821 (5)

FRO,PGEN,BFLY,KYMR,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.