Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 84 · Monday, August 31, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-31 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-31 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 5 · COILING 40 (cohering 26 / diverging 8) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 19↑ / 34↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -20 · T2108 40% above 40-d MA ⚖️ Breadth divergence: POSITIVE — price made a lower low but breadth held a higher low — selling exhausting (turn watch)

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-28)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $NSP, $HPQ, $PJT, $RELY, $GEN
  • 🌀 new coil: $FIVE, $AMR, $TALO, $FLR, $DAR, $PATH
  • ➖ dropped out: $PCRX, $NHC, $PANW, $TWLO, $FTI, $CNK, $AMN, $SBH, $MLKN

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. ⚖️ Breadth divergence: POSITIVE — selling exhausting under a lower-low price; turn may be near. Watch the ⭐ coils. regime gate suppressed 9 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $XYZ (-5.6% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $ETSY (-7.6% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $RELY (-1.5% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $DAR (-5.3% from high) — 5G/6R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $CART (-2.9% from high, 3%/day, +20% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $BOX (-1.5% from high, 3%/day, +24% 3mo) — 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $DT (-0.4% from high, 3%/day, +23% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $GEN -0.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +12% $ 163M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NSP -6.8% 4.4%/day 3mo +45% $ 17M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PJT -7.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +15% $ 69M 3G/4R neut MIXED
  • $RELY -1.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 77M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPQ -6.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +2% $ 394M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $RELY -1.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 77M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -4.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 14M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $TDW -4.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +25% $ 53M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -5.3% 3.8%/day 3mo +10% $ 138M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $XYZ -5.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 336M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPQ -6.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +2% $ 394M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $ETSY -7.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +18% $ 228M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $ECPG -7.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 31M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $DT -0.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 337M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BOX -1.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +24% $ 98M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NOV -1.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 62M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -2.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +2% $ 62M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SM -2.8% 3.5%/day 3mo +14% $ 130M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CART -2.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 184M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HP -3.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 46M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -3.4% 3.9%/day 3mo +10% $ 81M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -3.6% 5.2%/day 3mo +74% $ 189M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHRD -3.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 96M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $LPG -4.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +21% $ 25M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -4.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +47% $ 150M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -4.1% 3.7%/day 3mo +61% $ 15M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRGY -4.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 66M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VIRT -4.5% 3.9%/day 3mo +27% $ 72M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -5.4% 5.8%/day 3mo +15% $ 7M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $APA -5.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 217M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $URBN -5.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +13% $ 79M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FCX -5.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +13% $ 1077M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -5.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +17% $ 126M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $VIR -6.2% 4.9%/day 3mo +21% $ 15M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -6.4% 3.8%/day 3mo +16% $ 28M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AMR -7.1% 5.2%/day 3mo +9% $ 65M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXPE -7.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +39% $ 441M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $RCUS -7.7% 3.8%/day 3mo +14% $ 30M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -7.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +30% $ 403M 4G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -3.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +26% $ 85M 6G/3R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $ARCT — 5/5 days
  • $MRNA — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $CRCA — 5/5 days
  • $CRCG — 5/5 days
  • $PURR — 5/5 days
  • $HTFL — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $BMNG — 4/5 days
  • $BMNU — 4/5 days
  • $ETHU — 4/5 days
  • $ETHT — 4/5 days
  • $IPST — 4/5 days
  • $GDXU — 4/5 days
  • $TEMT — 4/5 days
  • $AMLX — 4/5 days
  • $NUGT — 4/5 days
  • $HHS — 4/5 days
  • $JNUG — 4/5 days
  • $ZSTK — 3/5 days
  • $ASST — 3/5 days
  • $MRNX — 3/5 days
  • $CCUP — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CART

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $XYZ

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 2G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $NSP

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0831 (8)

CART,BOX,DT,GEN,NSP,PJT,RELY,HPQ

KC_Coils_D_0831 (26)

DT,BOX,NOV,HCC,SM,CART,HP,PTEN,PBF,CHRD,LPG,RGEN,EPC,CRGY,VIRT,SABR,APA,URBN,FCX,FLR,VIR,TALO,AMR,EXPE,RCUS,ILMN

KC_Fakes_D_0831 (8)

RELY,HPQ,NPK,TDW,DAR,XYZ,ETSY,ECPG

KC_OffIdx_D_0831 (1)

FRO

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.