Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-01 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-01 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 4 · COILING 28 (cohering 19 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 22↑ / 113↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -135 · T2108 37% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-31)

⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $URBN (4G/8R)
⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $PTEN, $BOX, $CHRD, $CVI
🌀 new coil: $CXW, $GH, $FTNT, $CNH, $TFX, $CF, $TGTX
➖ dropped out: $SABR, $PRGS, $RGEN, $ILMN, $EXPE, $LQDT, $SM, $AMR, $FCX, $NOV, $PJT, $PATH, $CRWD, $ECPG, $NSP, $XYZ, $INSW, $CXM, $HCC, $LPG

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 6 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$RELY (-5.3% from high) — 2G/6R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ETSY (-7.1% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$HPQ (-2.7% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$URBN (-7.2% from high) — 4G/8R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$BOX (-3.2% from high, 3%/day, +27% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$VIR (-0.9% from high, 5%/day, +33% 3mo) — 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$TFX (-3.1% from high, 3%/day, +12% 3mo) — 9G/6R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$CHRD -1.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +9% $ 96M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$PTEN -2.2% 3.9%/day 3mo +9% $ 81M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$BOX -3.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +27% $ 98M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$CVI -1.4% 4.7%/day 3mo +20% $ 32M 4G/1R accu MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$HPQ -2.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +15% $ 397M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$RELY -5.3% 4.1%/day 3mo +28% $ 81M 2G/6R dist DIVERGING
$ETSY -7.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +17% $ 223M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NPK -7.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +14% $ 13M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$URBN -7.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +10% $ 80M 4G/8R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$HP -0.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +17% $ 48M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$VIR -0.9% 5.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 16M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$PBF -1.5% 5.4%/day 3mo +74% $ 189M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$CRGY -1.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 66M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$FLR -2.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +14% $ 132M 4G/3R accu COHERING
$APA -3.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +17% $ 211M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$TFX -3.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +12% $ 81M 9G/6R accu COHERING
$DT -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 337M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$CART -3.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 184M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$GEN -4.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +9% $ 166M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$CF -4.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +19% $ 286M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$VIRT -5.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +32% $ 69M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$TGTX -5.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +53% $ 88M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$CNH -6.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +14% $ 162M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$CXW -6.1% 4.0%/day 3mo +53% $ 58M 8G/2R accu COHERING
$TALO -6.3% 3.8%/day 3mo +15% $ 28M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$RCUS -6.4% 3.9%/day 3mo +21% $ 31M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$EPC -6.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +50% $ 15M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$FTNT -6.9% 3.9%/day 3mo +9% $ 689M 4G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$FRO -2.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +28% $ 90M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$GH -6.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +26% $ 335M 5G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$USDE — 5/5 days
$XHLD — 5/5 days
$ARCT — 5/5 days
$MRNA — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$PURR — 5/5 days
$HTFL — 5/5 days
$CRCG — 5/5 days
$CRCA — 5/5 days
$ETHU — 5/5 days
$ETHT — 5/5 days
$OABI — 5/5 days
$RCEL — 5/5 days
$BMNU — 5/5 days
$BMNG — 5/5 days
$MRNX — 4/5 days
$MRNY — 4/5 days
$ASST — 4/5 days
$SOLT — 4/5 days
$CCUP — 4/5 days
$XXRP — 4/5 days
$MSTX — 4/5 days
$UXRP — 4/5 days
$XRPT — 4/5 days
$MSTU — 4/5 days
$GORO — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $BOX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $RELY

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 2G/6R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $VIR

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0901 (6)

BOX,VIR,TFX,CHRD,PTEN,CVI

KC_Coils_D_0901 (19)

HP,VIR,PBF,CRGY,FLR,APA,TFX,DT,CART,GEN,CF,VIRT,TGTX,CNH,CXW,TALO,RCUS,EPC,FTNT

KC_Fakes_D_0901 (5)

HPQ,RELY,ETSY,NPK,URBN

KC_OffIdx_D_0901 (2)

FRO,GH

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 85 · Tuesday, September 1, 2026