Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-02 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-02 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 35 (cohering 23 / diverging 8) · FRESH_BREAK 3

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 71↑ / 17↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -97 · T2108 38% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-01)

🚀 BROKE OUT (setup→fresh): $HP, $HPQ, $CNH
🆕 NEW setup: $PJT
🌀 new coil: $PARR, $SLB, $CRM, $XYZ, $INVX, $HCC, $BFH, $NEM, $BBY, $OKTA, $FCX
➖ dropped out: $VIRT, $CHRD, $CXW, $NPK, $FTNT

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 5 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$XYZ (-5.1% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$BFH (-7.0% from high) — 0G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$BBY (-4.7% from high) — 6G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ETSY (-7.1% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$CART (-1.0% from high, 3%/day, +29% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$TFX (-2.8% from high, 3%/day, +10% 3mo) — 9G/6R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$CF (-1.9% from high, 4%/day, +19% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$PJT -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 69M 3G/5R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$RELY -1.2% 4.1%/day 3mo +36% $ 84M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$DAR -3.4% 3.7%/day 3mo +10% $ 142M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
$BBY -4.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +21% $ 289M 6G/7R dist DIVERGING
$XYZ -5.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 336M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
$BFH -7.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +21% $ 40M 0G/4R dist DIVERGING
$ETSY -7.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +22% $ 223M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NEM -7.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +16% $ 916M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$FIVE -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +9% $ 252M 5G/8R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$TDW -1.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +36% $ 53M 4G/4R accu COHERING
$CART -1.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +29% $ 184M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$PTEN -1.2% 3.9%/day 3mo +9% $ 88M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$CRGY -1.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 66M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$CF -1.9% 3.8%/day 3mo +19% $ 286M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$GEN -2.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 166M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$APA -2.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 213M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$FLR -2.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +13% $ 132M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$HCC -2.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +3% $ 59M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$TFX -2.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +10% $ 81M 9G/6R accu COHERING
$CVI -3.0% 4.6%/day 3mo +21% $ 33M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$PBF -3.1% 5.4%/day 3mo +75% $ 202M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$VIR -3.7% 5.3%/day 3mo +31% $ 17M 6G/2R accu COHERING
$SLB -3.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 493M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$TGTX -4.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +42% $ 88M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$BOX -4.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +30% $ 98M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$EPC -5.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +53% $ 14M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$RCUS -5.9% 3.9%/day 3mo +25% $ 32M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$TALO -6.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +14% $ 28M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$OKTA -6.7% 4.7%/day 3mo +31% $ 396M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$DT -7.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +13% $ 326M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$FCX -7.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +5% $ 906M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$PARR -7.9% 6.2%/day 3mo +40% $ 72M 4G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$FRO -0.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +32% $ 89M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$GH -7.7% 4.1%/day 3mo +28% $ 311M 5G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$USDE — 5/5 days
$XHLD — 5/5 days
$MRNX — 5/5 days
$ARCT — 5/5 days
$MRNA — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$ASST — 5/5 days
$MRNY — 5/5 days
$OABI — 5/5 days
$GORO — 5/5 days
$SOLT — 5/5 days
$RCEL — 5/5 days
$PURR — 5/5 days
$HTFL — 5/5 days
$CCUP — 5/5 days
$CRCG — 5/5 days
$CRCA — 5/5 days
$ETHU — 5/5 days
$DAIC — 4/5 days
$TJGC — 4/5 days
$DFDV — 4/5 days
$XXRP — 4/5 days
$ETHT — 4/5 days
$MSTX — 4/5 days
$UXRP — 4/5 days
$XRPT — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CART

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $XYZ

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/5R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +146.3 ATR above the 200d — -0.7% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0902 (4)

CART,TFX,CF,PJT

KC_Coils_D_0902 (23)

TDW,CART,PTEN,CRGY,CF,GEN,APA,FLR,HCC,TFX,CVI,PBF,VIR,SLB,TGTX,BOX,EPC,RCUS,TALO,OKTA,DT,FCX,PARR

KC_Fakes_D_0902 (8)

RELY,DAR,BBY,XYZ,BFH,ETSY,NEM,FIVE

KC_OffIdx_D_0902 (2)

FRO,GH

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 86 · Wednesday, September 2, 2026